Trump boasts ‘the blue wave is dead’ despite predictions Democrats will take over House and leave Republicans with razor-thin Senate margin

Thursday, November 1, 2018
By Paul Martin

Trump predicted Republicans would maintain Senate control and ‘do very well in the House’
His claims comes as polls continue to give Democrats a generic edge
A strong majority consider the country on the ‘wrong track’
A New York Times statistical analysis gives Democrats a 6/7 chance of winning the House
Republicans are poised to hold or even pad their Senate majority
Trump’s claim as he campaigns feverishly in Senate races in Missouri, Indiana, and Florida

1 November 2018

President Donald Trump declared the Democratic blue wave ‘dead’ on the eve of elections where opinion polls favor the opposition party seizing control of the House and opening a raft of investigations.

‘Well I think the blue wave is dead, frankly,’ Trump told CBN in an interview that was shot during one of Trump’s campaign swings in hectic effort to keep Congress in the GOP’s hands.

‘And I think we’re doing very well. It looks like we’re going to win the Senate which is very important,’ Trump said.

‘That’s why i’m here tonight and we’re going to Florida, where we have a great gubernatorial candidate and a great Senate candidate in Rick Scott for the Senate, Ron DeSantis for governor. And I think we’re doing just very well,’ the president said.

He predicted: ‘I think we’ll win the Senate. I think we’ll do well in the House.’

Although the results are still in doubt and won’t be known until Election Day, Trump has reason to worry control of the House is slipping out of reach.

The latest New York Times statistical analysis gives Democrats a six out of seven chance of taking it.

According to the latest analysis by David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report, ‘Democrats are the clear favorites for the majority and appear poised to gain between 25 and 40 seats.’

The latest NPR / Maris poll gave Democrats a nine-point advantage on the ‘generic’ question – the type of rating, which if sustained on election day, could signal a wave that would more than bring about the needed 23-seat gain. It has Democrats leading 52 to 43 per cent nationally.

Trump in the past has noted the historic headwinds he is facing, since presidents that control Congress typically lose seats in an off-year. Trump’s personal favorability rating is also an issue, and the final weeks of the campaign have featured the president dominating national news coverage.

Trump is banking that his efforts to make immigration a central issue will pay off.

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