Could North Korea spark World War 3 by ACCIDENT? War ‘more likely than EVER’
NORTH Korea could spark a global conflict by accident this year, a think tank has warned.
By JON ROGERS
Express.co.uk
Fri, Jan 5, 2018
Kim Jong-un’s reclusive regime is already volatile with tensions mounting in the region on an almost daily basis – and this week a think tank said the state is “the world’s most obvious risk of a geopolitical accident”.
A report by the Eurasia Group’s Ian Bremmer and Cliff Kupchan, which looked at the biggest threats facing the world in 2018, highlighted North Korea as an obvious problem area and said that a global conflict could be sparked, merely by accident.
The analysis said: “Everyone knows that the US has only unpalatable military options. The North Koreans aren’t suicidal; further North Korean missile tests are likely, but a direct strike on an adversary is nearly inconceivable.”
However they said Kim is likely to undertake more missile tests in 2018, some over Japanese territory. They said this is likely to provoke “an escalatory response”.
The report’s authors said: “Elevated tensions combined with less trust/coordination among all actors means that mistakes, when they occur, are more likely to ignite a conflagration.
“The possibility of war, which would risk severe damage to a key US ally and impact global supply chains, remains unlikely.
“But it’s much more thinkable today than it has ever been.”
The analysis comes after a senior US military figure said President Donald Trump had proved the US would be ready to strike Kim if his threats persisted.
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