NATO warns that the rise of artificial intelligence and the growing military strength of China and Russia means the threat of war is rising

Wednesday, November 29, 2017
By Paul Martin

Latest NATO report shows ‘higher risk of major interstate war’
The global trends report is completed by NATO every four years
It named China, Russia, artificial intelligence and global inequality

29 November 2017

NATO has warned that the world is under a ‘considerably’ higher threat of war than four years ago, naming artificial intelligence, China’s growing military strength and a resurgent Russia as some of the risk factors.

In a global trends report, NATO highlights several other risk factors such as climate change and growing inequality.

It also warns that NATO’s moves to bolster its capabilities could trigger a new Cold War-style arms race.

The report, completed by NATO once every four years, identifies 20 global trends that are likely to affect the alliance through 2035,

General Denis Mercier, NATO Supreme Allied Commander Transformation, said the report showed a higher risk of major interstate war than in the 2013 report.

‘We see a considerable increase in the risk of a major interstate conflict,’ Mercier said in an interview on the sidelines of the Berlin Security Conference.

His command will release a companion report that maps out what NATO should do to respond to these trends in the spring, with both documents to inform the 2019 NATO political guidance.

‘Having a global awareness is more necessary than before. We have to be ready for any kind of scenario,’ Mercier said, noting that globalisation meant NATO had to weigh factors outside its region, including military expansion by China and India.

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