Stratfor Predicts Dire Political Consequences of France Terror Attack

Saturday, November 14, 2015
By Paul Martin

US-based intelligence firm Stratfor has published a report predicting the political consequences in France of the November 13 terror attacks in Paris.

Private intelligence company Stratfor has tried to predict some of the political consequences of the series of terrorist attacks on Parisians on Friday, the worst in French history, which left at least 127 people dead and another 180 injured.

Preliminary reports suggest the attackers had connections to the Islamic State, and on Saturday French President Francois Hollande called the attacks “an act of war” carried out by the Islamic State.

As a result, Stratfor’s analysts believe that France will undertake greater involvement in the Syria conflict, after it already began airstrikes against terrorists there at the end of September. Intervention in Syria followed France’s decision in September 2014 to join the US-led coalition in carrying out airstrikes against Islamic State targets in Iraq.

The French government decided on intervention in Syria, which it began by bombing an Islamic State training camp, after an attempted terror attack on a train from Amsterdam to Paris in August. The attack was averted when train passengers restrained the gunman, preventing him from opening fire. The gunman, 25-year-old Ayoub El Khazzani, was originally from Morocco and had spent time in Syria before moving to France in 2014.

The attacks will also put additional pressure on the French government to impose greater controls on immigration, remarks Stratfor.

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