Republican Civil War: Country Club Republicans Threaten the Survival of the USA
by Martin Armstrong
ArmstrongEconomics.com
October 9, 2015
Our computer has been projecting an emerging civil war within the Republican Party. A lot of e-mails have come in on this subject. Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s startling decision to pull out of the race for Speaker of the House of Representatives illustrates, quite openly, how the Republican Party is bitterly divided between hardcore conservatives and the country club establishment. This is also reflected in the rise of Donald Trump. Trump has been leading the polls in Florida, beating Bush in his home ground, no less Rubio and Hillary. Trump is the anti-politician and this highlights the rising tension in politics.
The Republican civil war escalated with the rise of the Tea Party six years ago. Our models have been pointing to 2016 as the year from political hell, and few people thought our computer would ever be right. Some in political circles commented that our computer had been correct with all prior elections. But this was luck since it was based upon trends without polling individuals. What they do not grasp is that people respond to the trend; if you get that correct, you can forecast which way they will vote.
The Rest…HERE
