Iran’s push into Syria means another war between Hezbollah and Israel is all but inevitable

Monday, February 2, 2015
By Paul Martin

Jan. 2,2015

Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah finally delivered his long-postponed speech on Friday, after his group claimed responsibility for the attack against an Israeli patrol in the Shebaa area two days earlier.

Once again, Nasrallah brought Lebanon to the brink of disaster.

While the country escaped ruin this time, Iran and Hezbollah’s determination to activate the Golan front — the essential takeaway from Nasrallah’s speech — makes a major conflagration all but inevitable.

Israel cannot accept a new front with Hezbollah’s preferred rules of engagement in the Golan, which means that its measured response this time is unlikely to be tenable down the road.

Hezbollah’s gamble in Shebaa was arguably a calculated risk. The group banked on Israel accepting the attack as a limited response, thereby refraining from further escalation.

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