Economy Is About To Implode And This Earnings Season May Ultimately Make Stocks Stumble
April 8th, 2013
US Macro Data Plunges Most In 10 Months
The last two weeks have not been pretty for the ‘it’s different this time’ crowd. Day after day has brough miss after miss in macro-economic data for the US; from PMIs to NFPs, no matter how hard you try, there is not even enough for an ‘anecdotal’ strategist to pin his BTFD thesis on. Quantitatively, the US macro surprise index has seen its biggest 10-day drop in 10 months, completely reversing all the ‘seasonally-adjusted’ difference from the 2011 ‘Deja-Vu’ market and macro behavior. So with the first pillar of bullishness (macro data is ‘supportive’), it is up to earnings (but but but profitability is at highs) to hold up the market – good luck with that.