ABC News: ‘October Surprise’ Could Decide Election
Close polling figures increase likelihood of an unexpected twist
Paul Joseph Watson
October 1, 2012
ABC News has released a story suggesting that an “October surprise” will impact next month’s presidential election, with an incident involving Iran likely to decide the winner.
In an article entitled Obama Vs. Romney: Will October Bring a Political Surprise?, ABC’s Russell Goldman speculates that an Iranian attack on American interests could swing the election one way or the other, even suggesting that Mitt Romney may have “cut a deal” with Iran to undermine Obama.
“Were something to occur in the days before the election, it’s impossible to know how it might affect the voting,” he writes.
The fact that polls show Romney and Obama are so closely tied, “increases the likelihood that an unexpected event can shape the polls,” writes Goldman, pointing to the Iranian hostage crisis on the eve of the 1980 election which helped Ronald Reagan defeat Jimmy Carter.
“You can term any unexpected event in late October or early November an ‘October surprise,’” said Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. “The surprising thing is that we’re surprised by it every four years.”