Gun Confiscation: Fantasy vs. Probability
by Mark S. Mann
For as long as I can remember, people have always talked about what could happen, or what would happen if legislation were passed leading to confiscation of legally owned firearms in the United States. When this topic is discussed, people tend to get very emotional, and justifiably so. However, most people fail to understand the logistics that would be required for mass gun confiscation to actually take place. The common theme when people discuss this possibility is that law enforcement, federal agents, US Military, or foreign troops will show up at your door step to confiscate your firearms. Although I am not saying this could never happen, I am saying that the likely hood of door to door confiscation is highly unlikely.
Before you tell me I am wrong, and you start quoting language in the proposed UN Small Arms Treaty or the Department of State Publication 7277, first let’s take a look at some very common and easily verifiable facts and data:
1.) As of 2010 the number of individual households in the United Sates is about 132,000,000 according to the US Census Bureau.
2.) Approximately (1) in every (2) households in the USA have firearms inside of it. This equates to about 50% of all households, which is a statistic commonly used and widely accepted by BOTH pro-gun and anti-gun organizations. Do the simple math, and we can come up with a figure that about 66,000,000 American homes have firearms.
3.) According to data provided by the FBI in 2009, approximately 165,000 SWAT type raids were conducted in the USA for that year. This includes raids conducted by Local, State, and Federal police agencies. This includes everything from the FBI regional SWAT teams, to your local “Anytown, USA” PD SWAT team suiting up for whatever reason a SWAT team would be deployed. The size of the team is irrelevant, but most typical teams have between 8-40 members. What must be considered is that in many larger cities of 150,000 people or more, SWAT teams can do up to 3-4 raids per day, which also contributes to the annual total. To say some teams are busy is an understatement.