Big Banks, Big Governments, Big Debts, Let the Sucker Go Down

Friday, November 25, 2011
By Paul Martin

By: Gary North
Market Oracle
Nov 24, 2011

Conclusion: Europe is in bad shape. This is hedge fund manager Kyle Bass’s assessment of the situation in Europe. He stated this in a rousing interview on the BBC’s TV network. Here is the segment.

He made two crucial points – points that stock market investors are ignoring. First, over the last nine years, there has been an increase of world debt from $80 trillion to $210 trillion. These numbers are staggering. Global debt over the last nine years has grown at 12% per year, while GDP has grown at 4% per year.

While he did not verbally spell out the conclusion for the interviewer, it is this: when credit must grow by 12% per year in order to produce 4% GDP growth, at some point there will not be enough GDP to supply sufficient credit.

It is time once again to quote economist Herb Stein: “When something cannot go on forever, it has a tendency to stop.”

Bass had a great metaphor: the PIIGS have “sailed into a zone of insolvency.”

Second, he explained, the sovereign debts in Europe will be written down. There is no other solution.

The Rest…HERE

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