Canada’s Retail Prices Jump the Most in “Over a Decade”
by Wolf Richter
WolfStreet.com
September 23, 2015
When Statistics Canada released its July retail sales report today, it dished out a few unwelcome surprises – and a bombshell.
Among the surprises, based on what economists – though perhaps not average Canadians – had expected: Growth in retail sales was a measly 0.5% in July; and growth in June was revised lower to 0.4%, from the originally reported 0.6%. Year-over-year, retail sales rose just 1.8% adjusted for inflation.
The saving grace, sales of auto and parts dealers rose 2% month over month. Without them, retail sales were flat – also worse than economists had expected.
And by province, there were some ugly differences: on a year-over-year basis, not adjusted for inflation – more on that in a moment – nominal retails sales jumped 5.7% in British Columbia and 4.6% in Ontario. But at the other extreme, nominal retails sales edged down 0.7% in Newfoundland & Labrador, and slumped 3.6% in Saskatchewan and 3.7% in Alberta.
These two provinces are the epicenter of the Canadian oil bust, where a deep recession has set in. Home sales are plunging. Layoffs are cascading through the local economies. Uncertainly reigns. And consumers are reacting the best they can.
And here’s the bombshell: over the last six months, retail prices have jumped at the fastest rate in over a decade.
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