Ebola outbreak to continue for another 18 months, warn scientists
by: Ethan A. Huff
NaturalNews.com
Thursday, September 18, 2014
The World Health Organization (WHO) may be vastly underestimating the final death toll from the West African Ebola outbreak, according to data compiled by scientists working on behalf of the federal government. The official prediction is another nine months and about 20,000 deaths by the time Ebola fully runs its course, but computer models generated by the Virginia Bioinformatics Institute (VBI) are anticipating a further 18-month spread and perhaps tens of thousands of additional deaths.
Based on the rate at which the virus is currently spreading, researchers from multiple universities say WHO’s estimate of 20,000 deaths when all is said and done will likely come to pass within the next month, multiplying exponentially in the months following. Epidemiologists with many years’ worth of experience agree that the official numbers are grossly understated and that things will get much worse before they get better.
“We hope we’re wrong,” stated Bryan Lewis, an epidemiologist at VBI.
Lewis and other researchers in his field have developed similar computer models for infectious diseases like influenza, which the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) falsely claims is associated with some 36,000 deaths annually. For Ebola, Lewis applied his expertise to come up with predictions for the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the Department of Defense (DoD).
“Ebola has a simple trajectory because it’s growing exponentially,” added Dr. Jeffrey L. Shaman, an associated professor of environmental health sciences at the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, who also helped with the research.
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