BREMMER: If Scotland Votes For Independence, Prepare For The European ‘Contagion’ Effect Across Europe
Brett LoGiurato
BusinessInsider.com
Sep. 18, 2014
Stunning developments in recent weeks have made Scottish independence — which is set for a Sept. 18 vote — a very real possibility.
The Scots will vote Thursday on whether they will seek independence from England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. New polls showing a recent shift in public opinion has suddenly made independence much more plausible.
And if Scotland does vote for independence, it could be the start of a domino effect for similar situations throughout Europe, analysts say.
Other areas have been seeking to hold independence referendums — Spain, for example, is worried that Scotland’s situation could embolden separatists in the Catalonia region, though a tentatively scheduled referendum set for Nov. 9 in Catalonia has been ruled unconstitutional by Spanish courts.
Geopolitical expert Ian Bremmer, the president of Eurasia Group, said Monday he doesn’t expect Scots to end up voting for independence. But if they pull off a shocker, there could be many reverberating effects from the vote — one being that other separatist-fueled areas will be encouraged.
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