See how a pandemic could sweep the world: Scientists develop terrifying new computer model

Friday, December 13, 2013
By Paul Martin

Scientists have developed a system for predicting how rapidly a global pandemic might spread and where
Where once disease would have spread by people traveling by foot or by horse, modern pandemics spread through a complex network of global flight patterns and busy aviation hubs
Theoretical physicist Dirk Brockmann has found that epidemics spread in a pattern much like the waves created by dropping a stone in water
Now that scientists understand this, the breakthrough could be used to help try and cut off the global spread of future pandemics

DailyMailUK
13 December 2013

The threat of a global pandemic remains one of the most serious threats to the future of the human race, but now scientists have developed a breakthrough system for predicting how rapidly an outbreak might spread and where.

Where once disease typically spread by people traveling distances on foot or by horse, modern pandemics are spread through a complex network of global flight patterns and busy aviation hubs.

By using data from the 2003 SARS outbreak and the 2009 H1N1 pandemic, theoretical physicist Dirk Brockmann and his colleagues have devised a new model for predicting the arrival times of the next global pandemic in different parts of the world.

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