Richard Russell – Silver, Gold & A Coming Stock Market Crash
June 4, 2013
With continued turbulence in key global markets, including gold and silver, the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, put together one of the most extraordinary pieces he has ever written. He covers everything from a coming crash in stocks, to gold, silver, and the untenable situation the Fed and Bernanke faces going forward.
Richard Russell: “I’ve been wrestling with a moral question. Would it have been better to allow the bear market of 2008-09 to continue down to its ultimate and natural conclusion — or would it have been preferable to “step in” (as the Bernanke Fed did) and attempt to halt the bear market in its tracks? Of course, we know that Ben Bernanke chose the latter course, which meant attempting to halt the bear market.
Personally, I’ve voted against the Bernanke way. The reason is that I never thought it was possible to halt and then reverse the primary trend of the stock market or the economy — any more than I think we can halt the dawn and thus hold back the night.
One of the basic theorems of Dow Theory is that the primary trend of the market cannot be reversed. Once a bull or bear market is under way, one way or another, it will run its course to conclusion. The primary trend of the market and the economy is based on human sentiment — greed and fear, bear markets and bull markets end in exhaustion. Bear markets end when the last sellers have exhausted their desire to sell. Bull markets end when the last group of buyers have had enough.