Pimco’s New Warning, The Future Just Got Much, Much Darker For Investors — Stocks Dead, Bonds Deader Until 2022.
Investmentwatchblog.com
November 27th, 2012
Pimco’s New Warning, The Future Just Got Much, Much Darker For Investors — Stocks Dead, Bonds Deader Until 2022.
from Paul B. Farrell:
Big money managers are warning investors. They’re now citing the Bible: “Seven lean years.” No recovery till 2016. That was Jeremy Grantham back a few years ago. His GMO firm manages $104 billion.
Now Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian, the co-CEOs at the $2 trillion Pimco money managers, are citing the same biblical warning to jar investors awake and prepare for the coming lean years of slow, low growth and austerity. Except in Pimco’s new warning, the future just got much, much darker for investors — no recovery until 2022.
Here’s a summary of 10 points Foroohar picked up from meetings with El-Erian and Gross.
1. America fell in love with a Goldilocks economy
As early as 2005 Pimco warned that investors, voters and politicians had fallen in love with “a Goldilocks economy, the notion that markets were in a long period of growth and stability, neither too hot nor too cold.” El-Erian “never believed the bull” about wise “world’s central bankers and the seemingly endless growth of emerging markets.”
2. Economists predicting 3% to 4% growth are misleading America
Pimco was “quick to see, post-2008, the passing of an era,” says Foroohar. The unthinkable was happening: “The U.S. flirting with default, unlimited central-bank money dumps were suddenly happening.” Worse, today “while most experts (including those within the Obama administration) were plotting how to move from recession back to the trend growth rate of 3% or 4%,” Pimco concluded that a low 2% growth will probably be the New Normal “not for a couple of years but for decades.”
3. Warning: Too many investors, banks, politicians still in denial
The Rest…HERE
