Here It Comes, The October Surprise
October 5, 2012
Modern Survival Blog In American political jargon, an October surprise is a news event with the potential to influence the outcome of an election, particularly one for the U.S. presidency. The reference to the month of October is because the date for national elections (as well as many state and local elections) occurs between November 2 and 8, and therefore events that take place in late October have greater potential to influence the decisions of prospective voters.
The surprising thing is that we’re surprised by it every four years whereas perhaps we should expect it. A tight race like this year’s, where the candidates are separated by a few points, increases the likelihood that an unexpected event can shape the election.
Reported by salon.com, “According to a highly reliable source, who has first-hand knowledge of private high-level conversations in the Romney camp, said that they planned to release what they hoped would be “a bombshell” that would make Libya and Obama’s foreign policy a major issue in the campaign.”