Gold and Silver Regaining Footing As Treasuries Make Bearish Reversal
By: Jeb Handwerger
Aug 03, 2012
We have always regarded the markets as a grand casino subject to the manipulations of the Croupier and the House. This being said it is only rational to react in the face of the irrational. I remember speaking to a floor specialist who informed me that he reads the same price charts that most technicians do. This means we should be careful of any traps or head-feints at this critical juncture.
No doubt the patterns tell us that we are testing support levels and that technical damage has been inflicted on most stocks including the precious metals. The weak hands inform that the golden bubble may have been broken and the warning inscription written on the entrance to hell “abandon all hope, yea who enter here” may be applicable. We do not agree and may be considering this recent downward move in response to Bernanke and Draghi a fake out and that we may witness a reversal sooner rather than later.
Observe that in the midst of the carnage some positive notes are beginning to appear. We feel that this is a classical panic with all of the textbook characteristics of a selling capitulation. Bullish reversals may soon occur at oversold conditions and is providing long term gold and silver investors additional secondary buypoints.
Be not dismayed! The long range upward trajectory of the precious metals particularly gold is continuing higher and has considerably more to go. Factoring in inflation, gold and silver have yet to challenge inflation adjusted all time highs. Most industrial countries are trying to stimulate growth through accommodative easing and through record negative interest rates. Investors in five countries in Europe now face negative real rates. This means they are losing money with their savings in the bank. Many investors are holding the U.S. dollar which has one of the worst real interest rates. Do not forget behind the scenes M2 money supply has reached record levels. This historically leads to hyperinflation.