These Poll Numbers Point To Disaster For Obama
Despite his good fortunes with women voters, there some troubling warning signals for President Obama in the Quinnipiac poll out today. The huge problem is that he continues to lose Independent voters.
In February, the Democratic-leaning think tank Third Way chronicled the fight for the so-called “Obama Independents” — who authors Michelle Diggles and Lanae Erickson called the “heart” of the 2012 campaign.
The gist is this:
In 2012, Independents are likely to comprise the highest proportion of the electorate since 1976, and winning them will be crucial to victory. But not all Independents are the same, and the real showdown for 2012 is over who will win the Obama Independents. If President Obama woos the vast majority of them back, he can be reelected. But if he performs among them like Democrats did in 2010, when one-quarter of the Obama Independents voted for a Republican, it’s going to be a long election night.