Latest Gulf oil spill forecast: Mississippi, Alabama, Florida coasts face threat of oil
Tuesday, July 06, 2010
Share Nearshore surface oil forecast:
Moderate to strong (15-22 kts) winds, predominantly from the SE, are forecast throughout this forecast period. The coastlines of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida panhandle west of Pensacola continue to be threatened by shoreline contacts. Overflights from Sunday and Monday have observed little floating oil outside the source region; however this may be due in part to poor observing conditions. For Louisiana, models continue to show winds and currents moving oil from the source region west around the Delta and then to the north, with potential new shoreline oiling in the area between Barataria Bay and Caillou Bay. Further west, only scattered sheens have been observed on recent overflights, but satellite-based observations from Monday indicate possible small patches of oil south of Vermillion Bay. Models indicate that oil in this region will be subject to rapid westward movement by strong coastal currents which could result in scattered tarball impacts to Texas.