Robert Shiller Says the Depression Scare is Back
By Mark Thomas
Cutting government spending, raising taxes, raising interest rates, and hoping the rest of the world does the same as some have called for is not the answer to the threat of a depression. If people don’t begin to see unemployment falling soon, or some strong signal that employment markets will improve soon, pessimism is going to build — the optimism some people may have felt is fading and you can feel it building now, and that’s one of Shiller’s worries. Cutting monetary and fiscal stimulus at a time when people are becoming more pessimistic about the economy’s prospects will make things worse, not better. As I’ve said before, and will continue saying so long as these misguided ideas persist, if anything, monetary and fiscal policy should be more aggressive right now.