Precious Metals Update: Focus on Silver
December 8th, 2011
As I take a break from the Corzine testimony before the House Agricultural Committee, I’d like to briefly comment on the prospects for the precious metals vis-a-vis the U.S.D.
The first thing I notice, as someone who always looks at charts to see if price action is in line with my view of the fundamentals, is that a closed-end fund that is half gold and half silver, Central Fund of Canada (CEF) has just tipped into a bear configuration, with the 50, 150 and 200 day simple moving averages aligned so that the shortest moving averages are weaker (lower) than the longer ones. Thus if one doesn’t want to differentiate between gold (still by those criteria in a bull market) and silver (clearly in a short- and intermediate-term bear configuration), and go “halvsies” by owning equal dollar amounts of each, the message of the market has begun to tilt against one.