BREXIT BOMBSHELL: Poll puts Leave SEVEN POINTS ahead of Remain hours before referendum
A SHOCK poll has tonight placed Leave a monumental seven points ahead of Remain with just hours left until Britain’s historic EU referendum vote.
By GREG HEFFER, POLITICAL REPORTER AND NICK GUTTERIDGE
Express.co.uk
Wed, Jun 22, 2016
The bombshell survey, by respected pollsters TNS, shows Brexit has surged ahead by 49 per cent to 42 per cent once people’s likelihood to vote is taken into account.
It will send shockwaves through Downing Street tonight, which has shown increasing signs of nerves over how the referendum will pan out amid fierce criticism of David Cameron’s Project Fear campaign.
Analysts at the firm surveyed 2,320 adults across the UK online between June 16-22. Their baseline results reveal a two per cent lead for the Leave campaign, with support for Brexit at 43 per cent compared to 41 per cent for Remain.
However, experts say that once the result is adjusted to take into account respondents’ stated likelihood to vote the Brexit camp’s lead grows to a cavernous seven points.
Luke Taylor, Head of Social and Political Attitudes at TNS UK said: “With many members of the public still undecided or not planning to vote there is uncertainty around the outcome of the referendum.
“Our latest poll suggests that Leave is in a stronger position than Remain but it should be noted that in the Scottish Independence Referendum and the 1995 Quebec Independence Referendum there was a late swing to the status quo and it is possible that the same will happen here.
“Clearly, with a race as close as this, the turnout level among different demographic groups will be critical in determining the result.”
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