2011: Transition to a New Global Order
by Mariano Aguirre
Thursday, 27 January 2011
Three issues will dominate international relations in 2011: the United States’s relations with Europe, the emerging powers, and various countries of the global south; the ongoing international financial crisis (particularly acute in the north Atlantic area); and violence both along acute fracture-lines (such as the Pakistan-Afghanistan and Mexico-US borders) and within various states (such as Yemen and Somalia).
The powers that commanded the international stage since the 1950s – especially the United States, Britain, and France – no longer have the ability to lead (and in the case of the now defunct USSR, no longer exist). The WikiLeaks release of US diplomatic documents show that these powers continue to exert a great deal of influence; at the same time, many other governments – from Iran to the Ivory Coast, and including Israel, Venezuela, Sri Lanka and Sudan – are now becoming active decision-makers in ways that further reduce the control of the traditional powers.