My original pandemic projection model estimated 118 deaths in the USA by yesterday… the REAL number was 344 — see the details here

Sunday, March 22, 2020
By Paul Martin

by: Mike Adams
Sunday, March 22, 2020

Remember three weeks ago when you thought our pandemic projection model that predicted 580 deaths by April 4th seemed impossible or insane?

That same model originally predicted 2.1 million deaths in the USA by July 4th if nothing was done to achieve social distancing and aggressive isolation. I published that model at a time when President Trump was still in the denial stage, and when there were barely in deaths in the USA. At that time, most people couldn’t fathom even 500 deaths happening in the USA.

Fortunately, some governors and mayors came to their senses and measures were put in place over the last two weeks to achieve strong social distancing — with now almost 30% of the US population under lockdown — which means the catastrophic worst case scenario has been avoided.

However, we’re still in a scenario where probably tens of thousands of deaths in the USA cannot be avoided, and we’ll be lucky to get out of this with fewer than 250,000 fatalities in the USA. At the same time, the economic impacts of the shutdown, of course, will be devastating to the economy in the short term.

To understand why we’re still on track for a flood of fatalities in the weeks ahead, compare my original pandemic projections with the actual number of deaths from the coronavirus that have been recorded. The following chart also shows you the future dates and projections from my original projection model:

USA deaths from coronavirus – original projections released early March, 2020 – since revised with stronger social distancing factors

The Rest…HERE

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