“Miracles Aren’t Coming” – Surefire Recession Signals Everywhere

Tuesday, June 18, 2019
By Paul Martin

by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk,
Tue, 06/18/2019

The strength of inversions widened today. That’s a strong recession warning, but it is not the actual recession signal.

Inversions Widen

Today’s bond market action is a strong follow-through on Friday’s action.

Imminent Signal
The recession imminent signal is not the inversion but a sudden steepening of the curve following a period of inversion.

A comparison of the strength of the inversions today vs 2007 will show what I mean.

Inversions With the 3-Month Note Today

The Rest…HERE

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