The Coming Collapse Of U.S. Shale Oil Production

Wednesday, September 5, 2018
By Paul Martin

By: Steve St. Angelo
Wednesday, 5 September 2018

The death of U.S. Energy Independence will occur when the collapse of shale oil production begins. And when U.S. shale oil production finally peaks and declines, it could fall much more rapidly than we realize. The rate at which U.S. shale oil production declines in the future is based on two key factors, remaining reserves, and the oil price.

Before I get into the remaining shale oil reserves, let’s first consider the price. When the oil price collapsed from mid-2014 to a low at the beginning of 2016, frackers cut drilling considerably. From March 2015 to September 2016, total U.S. shale oil production fell approximately 600,000 barrels per day (info However, this decline was not due to the peak in production, but rather, because the low oil price made drilling shale oil uneconomical.

What happens when U.S. shale oil production finally peaks along with much lower oil prices? Well, that will be the PERFECT STORM for the U.S. shale oil industry. As I have mentioned in several articles and videos, when the current economic market cycle of 9-years finally rolls over, we are going to have one heck of a market correction. When the broader markets crack lower in a big way, they will most certainly pull down the oil price along with it.

To get an idea of the total U.S. shale oil production, here is a chart from Enno Peters at

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