Gold Out Performs Stocks In 2018 and This Century By Ratio Of Two To One

Monday, April 9, 2018
By Paul Martin

By: GoldCore
GoldSeek.com
Monday, 9 April 2018

– Gold outperforming stocks in 2018 and this century (see chart)
– Gold up close to 2% in 2018 while S&P 500 is down 2%
– Trump trade wars and Kudlow as Trump chief economic advisor is gold bullish
– Given gold’s performance, Kudlow’s dismissal of gold as “end of the world insurance” is “irrational”
– Market volatility could drive gold to $1,500/oz in 2018 – Holmes

Authored by Frank Holmes of US Funds

In a January post, I showed how the price of gold rallied in the months following the 2015 and 2016 December interest rate hikes—as much as 29 percent in the former cycle, 17.8 percent in the latter. Gold ended 2017 up double digits, despite pressure from skyrocketing stocks and massive cryptocurrency speculation.

I forecast then that we could see another “Fed rally” this year following the rate hike in December 2017. Hypothetically, if gold took a similar trajectory as the past two cycles, its price could climb as high as $1,500 this year.

As I told Kitco News’ Daniela Cambone last week, I stand by the $1,500 forecast. Before last week, investors might have been slightly disappointed by gold’s mostly sideways performance so far this year. But now, in response to a number of factors, it’s up close to 3 percent in 2018, compared to the S&P 500 Index, down 2.4 percent.

Living with Volatility

While I’m on the topic of equities, the S&P 500 dividend yield, for the first time in nearly a decade, is now below the yield on the two-year Treasury. Historically, the economy has slowed around six months after dividends stopped paying as much as short-dated government paper.

This could spur some stock investors to trim their exposure and rotate into other asset classes, including not just bonds but also precious metals, which I believe might help gold revisit resistance from its 2016 high of $1,374 an ounce.

The Rest…HERE

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