Atlanta Fed, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan GDP Forecasts Crash

Wednesday, March 14, 2018
By Paul Martin

by JOHN CARNEY
BreitBart.com
14 Mar 2018

So much for the idea that the economy is close to overheating.

A lower than expected retail sales number Wednesday has many economists revising down their forecast of first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP).

The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate fell to 1.9 percent, down from 2.5 percent just five days ago. At the start of February, the Atlanta Fed’s estimate called for GDP growth above 5 percent.

Economists at JP Morgan lowered their estimate to 2.0 percent, down from 2.5 percent. Goldman Sachs lowered its estimate from 2 percent to 1.8 percent.

U.S. retail sales fell for a third consecutive month in February, according to data released Wednesday by the Commerce Department. Economists had forecast a month-over-month gain of 0.3 percent in February. Instead, sales fell by 0.1 percent.

January’s decline, however, was revised to 0.1 percent, up from the initial read of 0.3 percent.

The decline was driven by a fall in purchases of big-ticket items such as cars and building materials.

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