House, Senate Republicans Reach Tax Package Deal: Stocks Pump Then Dump

Wednesday, December 13, 2017
By Paul Martin

by Tyler Durden
Dec 13, 2017

One day after we reported that “Congressional Republicans reached a tentative tax agreement”, the news of which sparked another risk surge into the close of trading, moments ago we got the second tax deal in 24 hours – if only for algo consumption – when the AP reported that House and Senate GOP leaders have reached a “tentative deal” on tax overhaul “in principle.”

The AP quoted a “person familiar with the conversations who asked not to be named because the discussions are private” and who is certainly long stocks, as the replica headline was enough to send the S&P to new all time highs.

The agreement “in principle” paves the way for final votes next week to slash taxes for businesses and give most people tax cuts starting next year. Top GOP aides say the deal was reached on Wednesday. They spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly about the deal. Details still need to be drafted and assessed by congressional scorekeepers but the final House-Senate compromise is on track to be unveiled this week.

The measure would give President Donald Trump his first major victory in Congress. It fulfills a longstanding goal by top Republicans such as Speaker Paul Ryan to rewrite the loophole-cluttered tax code. The measure has come under assault by Democrats who say it is unfairly tilted in favor of business and the wealthy.
Still, lawmakers still need to get a cost analysis of their agreement, so it’s not yet definite, “the person” said, who clearly gets around and was this time quoted by Bloomberg.

And since lawmakers still need to get a cost analysis of their agreement, not only is today’s “tentative deal” not yet definite, but it will almost surely be unwound when someone actually brings a calculator into the room.

Curiously, after jumping higher, stocks have since faded the kneejerk reaction higher, perhaps realizing that the more fiscal stimulus that is injected, the more tightening the Fed will have to unleash in the coming months as inflation become red hot.

The Rest…HERE

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