Not So Happy New Year: The Conflicts That Could Lead to WWIII in 2017

Sunday, December 18, 2016
By Paul Martin

SputnikNews.com
18.12.2016

President-elect Trump will have a lot on his plate in dealing with foreign policy hotspots when he steps into the Oval Office. Last week, the Council on Foreign Relations listed a possible NATO-Russia war, a Korean peninsula standoff and terrorism as the main ‘high impact’ threats to the US. But there are other dangers. Sputnik takes a closer look.

Last week, the CFR, an influential US think tank which has many senior US politicians, academics and senior media figures as members, released its annual survey of the “top international concerns” for US national security for 2017.

According to the think tank, the most serious dangers include a possible “serious military confrontation” between Russia and NATO, and an escalation of tensions in the Korean Peninsula amid the ongoing military buildup there. Cyberattacks by foreign powers and large-scale terrorist attacks in the US are also serious concerns.

The think tank also cited increased instability in Afghanistan, Turkish-Kurdish violence and an escalation of the war in Syria as important problems, although these conflicts’ impact on the US has been categorized as only ‘moderate’. Other threats include a possible military confrontation between China and US allies in the East and South China Seas, although the CFR optimistically rated its likelihood as ‘low’.

The CFR’s assessment has prompted National Interest columnist Robert Farley to offer his own take on the major threats to global security in 2017. In a piece for the magazine’s site, the columnist suggested that a series of important factors have combined to create a situation where the great powers of the US, Russia and China face “more uncertainty [today] than at any time in recent memory.” This uncertainty will force leaders to “navigate” to prevent “several extremely dangerous flashpoints that could ignite, then escalate, conflict” between them, he stressed.

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