Why Citi Thinks Oil Is Going To $20
by Tyler Durden
ZeroHedge.com
02/09/2015
The recent rally in crude prices looks more like a head-fake than a sustainable turning point, suggests Citi’s Ed Morse, noting that short-term market factors are more bearish, pointing to more price pressure for the next couple of months and beyond. While the shape of the oil price recovery is unlikely to be ‘L’-shaped in their view (more likely ‘U’, ‘V’, or ‘W’-shaped recovery), Citi warns the oil market should bottom sometime between the end of Q1 and beginning of Q2 at a significantly lower price level in the $40 range (perhaps as low as the $20 range for a while) – after which markets should start to balance, first with an end to inventory builds and later on with a period of sustained inventory draws.
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