Ebola cases to explode without drastic action: WHO

Tuesday, September 23, 2014
By Paul Martin

Yahoo.com
Sept. 23, 2014

Geneva (AFP) – The number of Ebola infections is set to explode unless the response is radically intensified, the WHO warned on Tuesday, predicting tens of thousands of cases by the end of the year.

The UN agency said in a report that new cases would increase from hundreds each week to thousands without “drastic improvements in control measures”, with infections more than tripling to 20,000 by November.

“We’ve rather modestly only extended the projections to November 2, but if you go to… January 2, you’re into hundreds of thousands,” said Christopher Dye, the head of strategy at the World Health Organization and a co-author of the study.

The research paper warns that the outbreak could drag out for years and become entrenched in west Africa, which has already seen almost 3,000 deaths.

The epidemic might simply “rumble on as it has for the last few months for the next few years,” Dye said, stressing that “the fear is that Ebola will become more or less a permanent feature of the human population”.

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