Initial Claims Surge To 445K, On Expectations Of 410K, Not Adjusted Claims Surge By 191,686 To 770,413 In One Week

Thursday, January 13, 2011
By Paul Martin

by Tyler Durden

So much for that amazing beat in the last 2010 number in initial claims, which is now proven to have been purely a figment of the BLS’ imagination and a whole load of guesstimations. Today’s initial claims number throws cold water to all those who expected the trend in claims to be improving. At 445K, this was a huge miss to expectations of 410K, and a major deterioration from last week’s (upwardly revised of course) 410K (was 409K before). Elsewhere, continuing claims came at 3,879K on expectations of 4,088K (with the previous naturally revised higher as well from 4,103K to 4,127K). And the kicker: in NSA terms initial claims were a mammoth 770,413, a 191,686 increase in just one week, and the highest NSA number in one year! The result: the spread between SA (3.1%) and NSA (3.8%) unemployment rate jumps to year highs. Of course, the BLS blames the huge disappointment on “paperwork delays”, yet blamed nobody for the amazing beats in the end of 2010 which brought the market to a complete frenzy.

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